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Gurus More Right Than Wrong In 3Q

ETF

Every January, I put together a list of predictions that financial “gurus” have made for the upcoming year, especially the ones that gain consensus as “sure things.” I then keep track of whether these “sure thing” forecasts actually came to pass, through a series of periodic updates. The inevitable turn of the calendar into October…

Avoid Water Cooler Advice

ETF

My book, “Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make and How to Avoid Them,” covered 77 common errors I believe investors commit all too often. I know today there’s at least one more I should have included: discussing individual stock buys or sells at the water cooler. Evidence from the field of psychology emphasizes the strength…

A Wake-Up Call Without the Trauma

New York Times

Imagine a hypothetical guy who lives a responsible financial life. He’s focused on meeting his obligations, even though he doesn’t have a big cushion when it comes to his take-home pay. Things are tight. He’s not quite living paycheck-to-paycheck, but it’s close. Then one day, an external shock completely outside his control occurs, and it…

Hedge Fund Myths and Misdeeds

Huffington Post

If anyone could demonstrate expertise in “beating the market,” you would think it would be hedge fund managers. They get paid hefty fees (often 2 percent of assets under management plus 20 percent of profits) to generate “alpha.” Successful hedge fund managers make obscene amounts of money. The top hedge fund managers earned in excess…

Don’t Call Your Broker

Huffington Post

The market has been experiencing gut-wrenching volatility recently. Monday, Aug. 24 was a particularly unsettling day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) lost 1,089 points before rallying to close down 588. This kind of roller coaster ride creates understandable anxiety among investors. Should you sell and sit on the sidelines, waiting for the market to…

How to find a financial advisor

Looking to avail yourself of a financial advisor’s services but stumped as to how to pick one? Who better to tell you what to look for than a financial advisor himself? “I believe there are four minimum requirements for anyone you’re considering working with,” said Tim Maurer, certified financial planner and director of personal finance…

No Shockers From Midyear SPIVA

ETF

The midyear S&P Indices Versus Active (SPIVA) domestic scorecard provides another example of why (at least when it comes to the overall results of active management relative to appropriate benchmarks) the past is, in fact, prologue. Let’s review some of the highlights from the June 2015 scorecard. The table below shows the percentage of active…

$50,000 (or More) May Be Yours for the Asking

Huffington Post

Investing is a unique business. After all, you wouldn’t think of buying any commercial item (like a car) without first negotiating for the lowest price. And few people would consider buying a product if they had no information about its price tag. Yet that is precisely what most investors do. They have no idea how…

Don’t Sell During Volatility

ETF

As I observe in my book, “Think, Act, and Invest Like Warren Buffett,” one of the great anomalies in investing is that while investors idolize Warren Buffett, they tend to ignore his advice, especially when it comes to efforts to time the market. The following are just a few of his many “words of wisdom”…

Is your financial advisor really putting you before profit?

How financial advisors are compensated doesn’t determine their character, but it does influence their behavior. As the debate over regulatory standards of conduct for financial advisors plays out in Washington, the issue for investors boils down to how their advisors are paid and how well the arrangement aligns the interests of the advisor with their…

Use Life Hacks to Minimize Bad Decisions

New York Times

A few years ago, a friend of mine who happens to be a really well-known journalist had a conversation with a really well-known academic. Because the conversation was private, I’m not mentioning names. But I did want to share one fascinating part of their discussion. They were talking about cognitive biases. A cognitive bias is…

Contagion & Corporate Credit

ETF

Contrary to what most investors believe, empirical studies of corporate bond premia have found that only a small fraction of observed credit spreads can be explained by expected losses from defaults. For example, research has found that the contemporaneous return of the S&P 500 Index is highly significant when determining the changes in credit spreads…

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